BANGKOK (Reuters) - Sitting in her busy Bangkok noodle shop, Bunruen Klinnak professes "love" for Thailand's former prime minister Thaksin Shinawatra, who was toppled in a 2006 military coup and later fled abroad.
But Klinnak, 55, also fears Thaksin's return to politics could spell further unrest in a country rocked by coups and bloody street protests over the past decade.
"We need to save money and be frugal because we don't know what politics will be like in the future," she says.
This ambivalence among even his admirers suggests Thaksin's political influence in military-run Thailand could be flagging despite a new publicity blitz by the self-exiled billionaire.
From his base in Dubai, Thaksin has thrown money and clout behind street protests and election campaigns, helping to install his sister Yingluck as prime minister in 2011.
But the military overthrew her three years later - she is now on trial for corruption - and purged the bureaucracy of Shinawatra sympathizers. It also monitored and briefly detained politicians loyal to the family.
Thaksin cannot take his old support base for granted, say analysts and allies, and might find himself struggling for relevance in a country which has undergone a profound political awakening in the past decade.
Even the "red shirts", a grassroots political movement long considered loyal to Thaksin, show signs of outgrowing him.
In a Feb. 23 interview with Reuters in Singapore, Thaksin said Thailand had "gone backward" under a junta that had caused economic hardship and deepened political divisions.
Thais would not tolerate the junta for much longer, he added, although it's unclear if he can exploit this dissatisfaction.
"The symbolic power that Thaksin and his sister carries is still something the military is very much concerned about," said Ambika Ahuja, a Southeast Asia specialist at Eurasia Group, a New York-based political risk consultancy.
"
But) his network of regional politicians, local civil servants, and business people has been weakened and disrupted over the years," she said.
"IT'S OVER"
Thaksin remains hugely popular, especially in Thailand's north and northeast. But this, he acknowledged, no longer translates into direct political power.
"Nobody from the Shinawatra family will be prime minister anymore. It's over," he said.
สมาชิกท่านใด เก่งภาษา ช่วยแปลทำหน่อยครับ
But Klinnak, 55, also fears Thaksin's return to politics could spell further unrest in a country rocked by coups and bloody street protests over the past decade.
"We need to save money and be frugal because we don't know what politics will be like in the future," she says.
This ambivalence among even his admirers suggests Thaksin's political influence in military-run Thailand could be flagging despite a new publicity blitz by the self-exiled billionaire.
From his base in Dubai, Thaksin has thrown money and clout behind street protests and election campaigns, helping to install his sister Yingluck as prime minister in 2011.
But the military overthrew her three years later - she is now on trial for corruption - and purged the bureaucracy of Shinawatra sympathizers. It also monitored and briefly detained politicians loyal to the family.
Thaksin cannot take his old support base for granted, say analysts and allies, and might find himself struggling for relevance in a country which has undergone a profound political awakening in the past decade.
Even the "red shirts", a grassroots political movement long considered loyal to Thaksin, show signs of outgrowing him.
In a Feb. 23 interview with Reuters in Singapore, Thaksin said Thailand had "gone backward" under a junta that had caused economic hardship and deepened political divisions.
Thais would not tolerate the junta for much longer, he added, although it's unclear if he can exploit this dissatisfaction.
"The symbolic power that Thaksin and his sister carries is still something the military is very much concerned about," said Ambika Ahuja, a Southeast Asia specialist at Eurasia Group, a New York-based political risk consultancy.
"
"IT'S OVER"
Thaksin remains hugely popular, especially in Thailand's north and northeast. But this, he acknowledged, no longer translates into direct political power.
"Nobody from the Shinawatra family will be prime minister anymore. It's over," he said.